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Political insiders use polls and prediction markets to forecast election results, but a WorldQuant University alumnus from Jamaica tried something new in 2025. Adrian Dunkley, a 2020 Master of Science in Financial Engineering graduate, convened a council of artificial intelligence agents and let them debate.

His all-star cast included Google Gemini, OpenAI’s GPT-4, xAI’s Grok, Anthropic’s Claude Opus & Claude Sonnet, and five other AI agents.

Results were astounding. The agents, each with internet access and distinct reasoning styles, predicted a razor-thin victory for the Jamaica Labour Party (JLP) in the national election on Sept. 3, 2025. Specifically, the council forecasted 34 seats for JLP and 29 seats for the People’s National Party (PNP). This prediction matched the final results exactly.

“The accuracy got gasps and genuine stunned looks,” says Dunkley, who led the project through Section 9, a human and artificial intelligence lab he founded in 2021 after completing his WQU studies.

Dunkley is also a research physicist at the University of the West Indies, the founder of StarApple AI, and the Chief AI Officer at WanderSafe, a travel companion designed for smartphone users.

“Although accuracy was not the finish line,” Dunkley says, “it is a motivator for our goal of AI supporting measurable social good across countries. This starts with understanding the why and knowing what we can do to serve citizens better.”

Dunkley designed the election experiment in three phases. During an independent forecast phase, each AI agent projected vote shares and seat distributions. The agents also described their reasoning and confidence levels.

Next came the adversarial challenge phase, a moderated debate that allowed AI agents to interact. The experiment concluded with voting. Section 9 analysts combined simple majority results with confidence levels to reach their final forecast.

Dunkley says that to his knowledge this is the first public project in the world to use a group of AI agents to forecast election results.

“The work continues, testing, stressing, unpacking and interrogating,” he says.